One in four Spaniards ‘would not bother to vote’ in a third election, but PP would gain more support

election-1A survey has shown that if Spain was forced to hold a third general election in less than a year, four in 10 eligible voters would not bother to cast their ballots.

And of those who would, according to NC Report, one in 10 would vote for a different party this time around.

If any of the parties are hoping to push the country back to the polls, though, they may end up doing do to their own detriment – a third election would benefit the right-wing PP the most.

Acting president Mariano Rajoy’s team has already gained from the second general election, with its 123 seats won in December rising to 137 in June, albeit still short of the 176-seat majority it needs to govern, whilst its direct rival, the left-wing PSOE (socialists) lost five seats, centre right Ciudadanos eight, and the coalition of Podemos and United Left remained the same, with the three now on 85, 32 and 71 respectively.

But in the event of a third election, nine in 10 of those who voted PP would do so again.

The PSOE would suffer, losing 16.7% of its electorate; as would Unidos Podemos, dropping by 15.7%, and Ciudadanos would come out worst of all, losing 25% of its voters.

Eight in 10 Spaniards would stick to their original vote.

Only Spanish nationals – natives or converted citizens – can vote in general elections, although Podemos wants to change this to allow foreign residents a voice, possibly based upon the knowledge that immigrants who have taken Spanish citizenship are statistically more likely to cast their ballot to the left.

Each time Spain calls another general election, it costs the taxpayer €177 million.

The PP and Ciudadanos want the PSOE to at least abstain in the in-house presidential elections to allow Rajoy back in, although the PSOE is categoric in its refusal to do so.

This week, Rajoy and Ciudadanos’ leader Albert Rivera intend to meet again to ‘up the pressure’ on the socialists.

Although the in-house round has effectively been postponed sine die, it looks increasingly likely it will end up going ahead on August 26.

Published Think Spain 9 August 2016

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